The Prediction Markets

IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 3 days
Traded
$5K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
5 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

At least 194,000 points 95%

Next is At least 206,000 points at 95%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
At least 194,000 points
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 194,000 points
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 206,000 points
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 206,000 points
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 192,000 points
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 192,000 points
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 190,000 points
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 190,000 points
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$897
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 196,000 points
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 196,000 points
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 191,000 points
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 191,000 points
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$97
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 193,000 points
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 193,000 points
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$913
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 199,000 points
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 199,000 points
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 205,000 points
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 205,000 points
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 208,000 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 208,000 points
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 21 more outcomes
At least 211,000 points
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 211,000 points
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 212,000 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 212,000 points
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 213,000 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 213,000 points
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 215,000 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 215,000 points
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 195,000 points
51.5%
Kalshi 51.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 195,000 points
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 197,000 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 197,000 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 198,000 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 198,000 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 200,000 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 200,000 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 201,000 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 201,000 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 202,000 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 202,000 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 203,000 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 203,000 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 204,000 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 204,000 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 214,000 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 214,000 points
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 207,000 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 207,000 points
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 210,000 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 210,000 points
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 209,000 points
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 209,000 points
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 217,000 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 217,000 points
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$156
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 220,000 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 220,000 points
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 216,000 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 216,000 points
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 218,000 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 218,000 points
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 219,000 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 219,000 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Trading View

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • At least 194,000 points
  • At least 206,000 points
  • At least 192,000 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026". At least 194,000 points leads at 95%. Next is At least 206,000 points at 95%. $5K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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