Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Above 3.9400 99%
Next is Above 3.9450 at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 3.940099%99%23¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askAbove 3.940099%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.9400
99%
99%
23¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Above 3.9400
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9400
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- Volume
- $2K
Above 3.945099%99%75¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askAbove 3.945099%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.9450
99%
99%
75¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Above 3.9450
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9450
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- Volume
- $5K
Above 3.950099%99%76¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askAbove 3.950099%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.9500
99%
99%
76¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Above 3.9500
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9500
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- Volume
- $200
Above 3.955099%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askAbove 3.955099%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.9550
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Above 3.9550
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9550
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- Volume
- $200
Above 3.960099%99%75¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askAbove 3.960099%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.9600
99%
99%
75¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Above 3.9600
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.965099%99%76¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askAbove 3.965099%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.9650
99%
99%
76¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Above 3.9650
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.970099%99%78¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askAbove 3.970099%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.9700
99%
99%
78¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Above 3.9700
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.975099%99%90¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askAbove 3.975099%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.9750
99%
99%
90¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Above 3.9750
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Above 3.980098.5%98.5%98¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 3.980098.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.9800
98.5%
98.5%
98¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.9800
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9800
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.985098.5%98.5%98¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 3.985098.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.9850
98.5%
98.5%
98¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.9850
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9850
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Show 7 more outcomesHide 7 outcomes
Above 3.990098%98%97¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 3.990098%Kalshi 98%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.9900
98%
98%
97¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.9900
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9900
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.995095.5%95.5%93¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Above 3.995095.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 3.9950
95.5%
95.5%
93¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 3.9950
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9950
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Above 4.005065%65%35¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above 4.005065%Kalshi 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.0050
65%
65%
35¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.0050
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.0050
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.000060.5%60.5%26¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above 4.000060.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.0000
60.5%
60.5%
26¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.0000
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.0000
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.010059.5%59.5%24¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above 4.010059.5%Kalshi 59.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.0100
59.5%
59.5%
24¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.0100
59.5%
Kalshi 59.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.0100
- Last price
- 59.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.020050%50%1¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 4.020050%Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 4.0200
50%
50%
1¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 4.0200
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.0200
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 4.015049%49%1¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Above 4.015049%Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above 4.0150
49%
49%
1¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above 4.0150
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.0150
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 3.9400
- Above 3.9450
- Above 3.9500
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Indiana gas prices tomorrow". Above 3.9400 leads at 99%. Next is Above 3.9450 at 99%. $7K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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