The Prediction Markets

Iowa gas prices tomorrow

Closes
Oct 24, 2026, in 12 hours
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 4.1800 98.5%

Next is Above 4.1850 at 97.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 4.1800
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1800
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1850
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1850
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1550
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1550
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1400
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1400
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1750
90.5%
Kalshi 90.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1750
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1650
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1650
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1600
87.5%
Kalshi 87.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1600
Last price
87.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1900
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1900
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$758
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2000
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2000
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$360
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1950
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1950
Last price
67%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$892
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Above 4.1700
53.5%
Kalshi 53.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1700
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1500
52.5%
Kalshi 52.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1500
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1450
50.5%
Kalshi 50.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1450
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2050
45.5%
Kalshi 45.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2050
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2100
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2100
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2150
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2150
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2200
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2200
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 4.1800
  • Above 4.1850
  • Above 4.1550

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Iowa gas prices tomorrow". Above 4.1800 leads at 98.5%. Next is Above 4.1850 at 97.5%. $2K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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