The Prediction Markets

Kansas gas prices tomorrow

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, in 8 hours
Traded
$18K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 3.9250 99%

Next is Above 3.9300 at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 3.9250
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9250
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9300
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9300
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9350
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9350
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9400
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9400
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9450
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9450
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9500
57.5%
Kalshi 57.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9500
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9600
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9600
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9750
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9750
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9550
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9550
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$554
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9650
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9650
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Above 4.0050
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.0050
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9850
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9850
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9700
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9700
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.0000
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.0000
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9800
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9800
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9900
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9900
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9950
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9950
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$722
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 3.9250
  • Above 3.9300
  • Above 3.9350

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Kansas gas prices tomorrow". Above 3.9250 leads at 99%. Next is Above 3.9300 at 99%. $18K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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