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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Above 3.9200 99%
Next is Above 3.9250 at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 3.920099%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 3.920099%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Above 3.9200
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 3.9200
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9200
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- Volume
- $478
Above 3.925099%99%91¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 3.925099%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Above 3.9250
99%
99%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 3.9250
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9250
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- Volume
- $745
Above 3.930099%99%90¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 3.930099%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Above 3.9300
99%
99%
90¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 3.9300
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9300
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- Volume
- $1K
Above 3.935099%99%90¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 3.935099%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Above 3.9350
99%
99%
90¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 3.9350
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9350
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- Volume
- $98
Above 3.940099%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 3.940099%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Above 3.9400
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 3.9400
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Above 3.945095%95%91¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 3.945095%Kalshi 95%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.9450
95%
95%
91¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.9450
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9450
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.950076.5%76.5%74¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, just now79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Above 3.950076.5%Kalshi 76.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Above 3.9500
76.5%
76.5%
74¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, just now
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Above 3.9500
76.5%
Kalshi 76.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9500
- Last price
- 76.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Above 3.960010%10%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Above 3.960010%Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 3.9600
10%
10%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 3.9600
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9600
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 3.95508%8%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just now12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Above 3.95508%Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Above 3.9550
8%
8%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Above 3.9550
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9550
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Above 3.99004%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above 3.99004%Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above 3.9900
4%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above 3.9900
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9900
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $110
Show 7 more outcomesHide 7 outcomes
Above 4.00004%4%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Above 4.00004%Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 4.0000
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 4.0000
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.0000
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 3.96503.5%3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.96503.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.9650
3.5%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.9650
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9650
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.97003%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 3.97003%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 3.9700
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 3.9700
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9700
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 3.99503%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 3.99503%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 3.9950
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 3.9950
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9950
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 3.97501.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Above 3.97501.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 3.9750
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 3.9750
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9750
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 3.98001.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Above 3.98001.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 3.9800
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 3.9800
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9800
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 3.98501%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above 3.98501%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above 3.9850
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above 3.9850
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.9850
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 3.9200
- Above 3.9250
- Above 3.9300
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Kansas gas prices tomorrow". Above 3.9200 leads at 99%. Next is Above 3.9250 at 99%. $4K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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