The Prediction Markets

Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$26K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
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What the markets expect

Above 1.27M 99%

Next is Above 1.34M at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 1.27M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.27M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
60¢
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.34M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.34M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
60¢
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.41M
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.41M
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
9¢
Volume
$189
Trade this on Kalshi
1.4M-1.5M
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.4M-1.5M
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 1.55M
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.55M
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$65
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.77M
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.77M
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.84M
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.84M
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$690
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.70M
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.70M
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$647
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.48M
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.48M
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$682
Trade this on Kalshi
1.7M-1.8M
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $962 (9.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.7M-1.8M
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$962 (9.62x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Above 1.63M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.63M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Kalshi
1.3M-1.4M
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.3M-1.4M
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.5M-1.6M
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.5M-1.6M
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 1.91M
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.91M
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1.6M-1.7M
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.6M-1.7M
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.8M+
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.8M+
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.2M-1.3M
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.2M-1.3M
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$913
Trade this on Polymarket
1.2M
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.2M
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kentucky State Board of Elections

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 1.27M
  • Above 1.34M
  • Above 1.41M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 1.27M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout". Above 1.27M leads at 99%. Next is Above 1.34M at 99%. $26K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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