The Prediction Markets

Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Starts in 16 hKickoff
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas 53%

Next is Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 21.5
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas Game Spread +/-0.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 22.5
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 23.5
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
  • Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas
  • Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas". Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas leads at 53%. Next is Lima: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas at 50%. $2K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Genaro Alberto Olivieri and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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