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Trading ended on Oct 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Rafael López Aliaga97.2%86.7%97.2% fair81.3¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 91 h ago92¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Rafael López Aliaga97.2%Polymarket 86.7%(97.2% fair)polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Rafael López Aliaga
97.2%
86.7%
97.2% fair
81.3¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
92¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Rafael López Aliaga
97.2%
Polymarket 86.7%(97.2% fair)polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rafael López Aliaga
- Last price
- 86.7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 97.2%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 81.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $181K
Francis James Allison Oyague1.3%1.2%0.6¢ bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, 91 h ago1.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)Francis James Allison Oyague1.3%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Francis James Allison Oyague
1.3%
1.2%
0.6¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
1.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Francis James Allison Oyague
1.3%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Francis James Allison Oyague
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
- Volume
- $157K
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca0.3%0.3%— bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
0.3%
0.3%
— bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $96K
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $15K
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $18K
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Flor de María Hurtado Valdez0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Jessica Viviana Linares Romero0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 13 more outcomesHide 13 outcomes
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $10K
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Rubén José Ramírez Mateo0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Samir Frank Quispe Caballero0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Samuel Marcos Daza Taype0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $18K
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Sandro Caller Gutiérrez0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Santiago Rosendo Abarca León0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Segundo Valdez Zavala0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Segundo Valdez Zavala0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Segundo Valdez Zavala
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Segundo Valdez Zavala
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Segundo Valdez Zavala
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $12K
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Yehude Simón Munaro0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 91 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Yehude Simón Munaro0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Yehude Simón Munaro
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 91 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Yehude Simón Munaro
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 91 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yehude Simón Munaro
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $10K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: jne.gob.pe
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Rafael López Aliaga
- Francis James Allison Oyague
- Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Lima Mayoral Election Winner". Rafael López Aliaga last traded at 97.2%. Next is Francis James Allison Oyague at 1.3%. $548K has traded across 23 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Oct 4, 2026.
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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