The Prediction Markets

Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina

Closed
Apr 29, 2026
Traded
$337K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 29, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 184 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4416 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina Match O/U 21.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 184 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4416 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina Match O/U 22.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 184 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4416 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 184 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$335K
Trade this on Polymarket
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4416 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 184 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$475
Trade this on Polymarket
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4416 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 184 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$158
Trade this on Polymarket
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4416 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina Match O/U 23.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 184 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina
  • Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina
  • Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina". Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina last traded at 100%. Next is Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina at 100%. $337K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 29, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Federico Cina in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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