The Prediction Markets

Maryland Governor General Election: voter turnout

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$31K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

Above 1.7M 98%

Next is Above 2.3M at 88%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 1.7M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.7M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
3¢
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.3M
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.3M
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$741
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2M
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2M
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Volume
$63
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.9M
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.9M
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.1M
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.1M
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.8M
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.8M
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.2M
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.2M
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$549
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.5M
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.5M
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2M-2.15M
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
2M-2.15M
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.3M-2.45M
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.3M-2.45M
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
2.15M-2.3M
29.2%
Polymarket 29.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 40.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $249 (2.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.15M-2.3M
Last price
29.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
40.1¢
Sell Yes
18.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$249 (2.49x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 2.4M
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.4M
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Kalshi
2.45M+
23.3%
Polymarket 23.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 34.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $287 (2.87x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.45M+
Last price
23.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
34.9¢
Sell Yes
11.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$287 (2.87x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 2.6M
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.6M
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
1.85M-2M
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.85M-2M
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.55M
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.55M
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.7M-1.85M
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.7M-1.85M
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$919
Trade this on Polymarket
1.55M-1.7M
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.55M-1.7M
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Maryland State Board of Elections

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 1.7M
  • Above 2.3M
  • Above 2M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 1.7M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Maryland Governor General Election: voter turnout". Above 1.7M leads at 98%. Next is Above 2.3M at 88%. $31K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More politics markets

See all politics markets