The Prediction Markets

Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu

Starts in 13 hKickoff
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu 50%

Next is Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu Match O/U 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu Game Spread +/-0.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu Set 1 Winner
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu Match O/U 23.5
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu Match O/U 22.5
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Yu-Hsiou Hsu (-1.5) vs Rio Noguchi (+1.5)
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Rio Noguchi (-1.5) vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu (+1.5)
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
  • Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
  • Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu". Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu leads at 50%. Next is Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu at 50%. $3K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 21, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Rio Noguchi and Yu-Hsiou Hsu in the Matsuyama, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Rio Noguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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