The Prediction Markets

Maynas Mayoral Election Winner

Closed
Oct 5, 2026
Traded
$28K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo
88.6%
Polymarket 92%(88.6% fair)polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 97.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo
Last price
92%
Fair, margin removed
88.6%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
97.8¢
Sell Yes
86.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez
4%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez
3%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ernesto Concha La Torre
2.9%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ernesto Concha La Torre
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$536
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleiver Inuma Chávez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleiver Inuma Chávez
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$569
Trade this on Polymarket
Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$680
Trade this on Polymarket
Deiby Marín Ortega
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deiby Marín Ortega
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$488
Trade this on Polymarket
Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$618
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 9 more outcomes
Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$487
Trade this on Polymarket
Jean Pier López Sifuentes
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jean Pier López Sifuentes
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$493
Trade this on Polymarket
Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$529
Trade this on Polymarket
Juan Aguilar Gómez
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juan Aguilar Gómez
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$460
Trade this on Polymarket
Nery Mozombite Cerrón
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nery Mozombite Cerrón
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$649
Trade this on Polymarket
Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$526
Trade this on Polymarket
Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$648
Trade this on Polymarket
Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$643
Trade this on Polymarket
Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$574
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: jne.gob.pe

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo
  • Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez
  • Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Maynas Mayoral Election Winner". Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo last traded at 88.6%. Next is Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez at 4%. $28K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Oct 4, 2026.

The 2026 Maynas, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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