The Prediction Markets

Minnesota gas prices tomorrow

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, in 7 hours
Traded
$11K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 4.1750 99%

Next is Above 4.1800 at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 4.1750
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 51s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1750
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1800
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 51s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1800
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Volume
$694
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1850
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 51s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1850
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1900
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 51s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1900
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
5¢
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1950
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 51s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1950
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
5¢
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2000
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2000
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2050
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2050
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2100
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2100
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$721
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2500
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2500
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2550
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2550
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Above 4.2350
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2350
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2400
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2400
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2250
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2250
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$557
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2300
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2300
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2150
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2150
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$519
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2200
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2200
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2450
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2450
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$687
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 4.1750
  • Above 4.1800
  • Above 4.1850

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota gas prices tomorrow". Above 4.1750 leads at 99%. Next is Above 4.1800 at 99%. $11K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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