This market has closed
Trading ended on Apr 3, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 210 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico BondioliPolymarket: “Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli Total Sets: O/U 2.5”0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5042 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5042 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 210 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $137
Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5042 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5042 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 210 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $64K
Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico BondioliPolymarket: “Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 21.5”0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5042 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5042 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 21.5
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 210 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $526
Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico BondioliPolymarket: “Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 22.5”0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5042 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5042 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 22.5
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 210 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $22
Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico BondioliPolymarket: “Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 23.5”0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5042 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5042 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 23.5
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 210 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $22
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli
- Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli
- Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli". Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli last traded at 0.1%. Next is Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli at 0.1%. $66K has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 3, 2026.
This market refers on the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Federico Bondioli in the Naples, scheduled for March 27 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Federico Bondioli. This market will resolve to 'Federico Bondioli' if Federico Bondioli advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More economics markets
See all economics markets- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?Yes94.2%$31.5M traded
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?Fed maintains rate93%$14.9M traded
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?Exactly 0 cuts93.2%$11.0M traded
- How high will WTI oil get by Dec 31, 2026?115.01 or above43%$9.4M traded
- Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIA61.5%$8.9M traded
- S&P close price end of 2026?7,800 to 7,999.9923%$8.0M traded