Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Above 4.3200 98%
Next is Above 4.3150 at 95%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 4.320098%98%98¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 4.320098%Kalshi 98%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 4.3200
98%
98%
98¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 4.3200
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3200
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $2K
Above 4.315095%95%94¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, just now98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Above 4.315095%Kalshi 95%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 4.3150
95%
95%
94¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, just now
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 4.3150
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3150
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $1
Above 4.330094.5%94.5%94¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, just now95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above 4.330094.5%Kalshi 94.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.3300
94.5%
94.5%
94¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, just now
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.3300
94.5%
Kalshi 94.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3300
- Last price
- 94.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.325094%94%94¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, just now95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above 4.325094%Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.3250
94%
94%
94¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, just now
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 4.3250
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3250
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $200
Above 4.335074%74%74¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, just now76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Above 4.335074%Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Above 4.3350
74%
74%
74¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, just now
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Above 4.3350
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3350
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
Above 4.340026%26%21¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, just now31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Above 4.340026%Kalshi 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Above 4.3400
26%
26%
21¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, just now
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Above 4.3400
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3400
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Above 4.34509%9%7¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Above 4.34509%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Above 4.3450
9%
9%
7¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Above 4.3450
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3450
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Above 4.35009%9%5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Above 4.35009%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Above 4.3500
9%
9%
5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Above 4.3500
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3500
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $1
Above 4.35506.5%6.5%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Above 4.35506.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 4.3550
6.5%
6.5%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 4.3550
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3550
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 4.36006%6%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Above 4.36006%Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 4.3600
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 4.3600
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3600
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Show 7 more outcomesHide 7 outcomes
Above 4.36505.5%5.5%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 4.36505.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.3650
5.5%
5.5%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.3650
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3650
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.37005.5%5.5%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 4.37005.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.3700
5.5%
5.5%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.3700
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3700
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 4.37505%5%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Above 4.37505%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 4.3750
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 4.3750
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3750
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 4.38001%1%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Above 4.38001%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 4.3800
1%
1%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 4.3800
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3800
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $200
Above 4.38501%1%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Above 4.38501%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 4.3850
1%
1%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 4.3850
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3850
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Above 4.39001%1%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Above 4.39001%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 4.3900
1%
1%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 4.3900
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3900
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Above 4.39501%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Above 4.39501%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 4.3950
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 4.3950
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.3950
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $102
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 4.3200
- Above 4.3150
- Above 4.3300
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Nebraska gas prices tomorrow". Above 4.3200 leads at 98%. Next is Above 4.3150 at 95%. $9K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More economics markets
See all economics markets- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?Yes94.1%$31.5M traded
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?Fed maintains rate93%$14.3M traded
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?Exactly 0 cuts94.2%$10.8M traded
- How high will WTI oil get by Dec 31, 2026?115.01 or above39.8%$9.3M traded
- Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIA59%$8.8M traded
- S&P close price end of 2026?7,800 to 7,999.9924%$8.0M traded