The Prediction Markets

Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

Closes
Nov 4, 2026, in 12 days
Traded
$28K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 870K 93%

Next is Above 920K at 86%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 870K
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 870K
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 920K
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 920K
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 970K
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 970K
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$392
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.02M
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.02M
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$658
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.07M
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.07M
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.12M
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.12M
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$488
Trade this on Kalshi
1.05M-1.125M
37.1%
Polymarket 37.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 38.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $257 (2.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.05M-1.125M
Last price
37.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38.9¢
Sell Yes
35.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$257 (2.57x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 1.17M
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.17M
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1.125M-1.2M
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.125M-1.2M
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 1.22M
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.22M
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 8 more outcomes
1.275M-1.35M
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.275M-1.35M
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.2M-1.275M
15.1%
Polymarket 15.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 17.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $565 (5.65x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.2M-1.275M
Last price
15.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17.7¢
Sell Yes
12.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$565 (5.65x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
900K
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 15.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $637 (6.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
900K
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15.7¢
Sell Yes
8.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$637 (6.37x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 1.32M
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.32M
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1.27M
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.27M
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$462
Trade this on Kalshi
975K-1.05M
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 14.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $704 (7.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
975K-1.05M
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.2¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$704 (7.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
900K-975K
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
900K-975K
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.35M+
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.35M+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Nevada Secretary of State

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 870K
  • Above 920K
  • Above 970K

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 870K for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Nevada Governor Election: Turnout". Above 870K leads at 93%. Next is Above 920K at 86%. $28K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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