The Prediction Markets

Next Mayor of České Budějovice

Closes
Jun 30, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$10K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Dagmar Škodová Parmová 73.9%

Next is Viktor Lavička at 10.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Dagmar Škodová Parmová 73.9%Viktor Lavička 10.7%Jan Teplý 9.1%Ondřej Talíř 2.8%Tomáš Chovanec 2.2%2 others 1.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Dagmar Škodová Parmová
73.9%
Polymarket 69%(73.9% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dagmar Škodová Parmová
Last price
69%
Fair, margin removed
73.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Viktor Lavička
10.7%
Polymarket 10%(10.7% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viktor Lavička
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
10.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jan Teplý
9.1%
Polymarket 8.5%(9.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 16.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $617 (6.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jan Teplý
Last price
8.5%
Fair, margin removed
9.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
16.2¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$617 (6.17x)
Volume
$886
Trade this on Polymarket
Ondřej Talíř
2.8%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ondřej Talíř
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tomáš Chovanec
2.2%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tomáš Chovanec
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$878
Trade this on Polymarket
Pavel Tůma
0.9%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pavel Tůma
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$670
Trade this on Polymarket
Richard Štěpán
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Richard Štěpán
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$819
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: volby.cz

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Dagmar Škodová Parmová
  • Viktor Lavička
  • Jan Teplý

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Next Mayor of České Budějovice". Dagmar Škodová Parmová leads at 73.9%. Next is Viktor Lavička at 10.7%. $10K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 30, 2027.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of České Budějovice will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of České Budějovice following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Czechia and České Budějovice.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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