The Prediction Markets

Next Mayor of Liberec

Closed
Oct 10, 2026
Traded
$19K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 10, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Lukáš Hájek
88%
Polymarket 90%(88% fair)polled, 64 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lukáš Hájek
Last price
90%
Fair, margin removed
88%
As of
Polled 2 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jiří Veselka
3.8%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 64 h agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jiří Veselka
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 2 d ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jan Hruška
3.2%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 64 h agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jan Hruška
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 2 d ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$655
Trade this on Polymarket
Tomáš Rec
2.7%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 64 h agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tomáš Rec
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 2 d ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tibor Batthyány
2.1%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 64 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tibor Batthyány
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 2 d ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$919
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaroslav Zámečník
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 64 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaroslav Zámečník
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$537
Trade this on Polymarket
Tomáš Paleček
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 64 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tomáš Paleček
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$642
Trade this on Polymarket
Zdeněk Chmelík
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 64 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zdeněk Chmelík
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$282
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: volby.cz

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Lukáš Hájek
  • Jiří Veselka
  • Jan Hruška

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Next Mayor of Liberec". Lukáš Hájek last traded at 88%. Next is Jiří Veselka at 3.8%. $19K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Oct 10, 2026.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Liberec will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Liberec following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Czechia and Liberec.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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