The Prediction Markets

Next President of Vietnam

Closed
Jan 25, 2026
Traded
$32.0M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jan 25, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 200 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Tô Lâm
99.7%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4800 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Tô Lâm
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$4.3M
Trade this on Polymarket
Lương Cường
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4800 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lương Cường
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Nguyễn Duy Ngọc
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4800 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nguyễn Duy Ngọc
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1.3M
Trade this on Polymarket
Phạm Minh Chính
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4800 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phạm Minh Chính
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$15.6M
Trade this on Polymarket
Phan Văn Giang
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4800 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phan Văn Giang
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2.7M
Trade this on Polymarket
Trần Cẩm Tú
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4800 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trần Cẩm Tú
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Trần Thanh Mẫn
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4800 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trần Thanh Mẫn
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 200 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2.8M
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Tô Lâm
  • Lương Cường
  • Nguyễn Duy Ngọc

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Next President of Vietnam". Tô Lâm last traded at 99.7%. Next is Lương Cường at 0.1%. $32.0M has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jan 25, 2026.

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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