The Prediction Markets

Next Prime Minister of Denmark after parliamentary election?

FinalKickoff
Traded
$8.3M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 24, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 162 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Mette Frederiksen
72.3%
Polymarket 73.5%(72.3% fair)polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mette Frederiksen
Last price
73.5%
Fair, margin removed
72.3%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$1.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Troels Lund Poulsen
17.5%
Polymarket 17.8%polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 17.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $559 (5.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Troels Lund Poulsen
Last price
17.8%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
17.9¢
Sell Yes
17.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$559 (5.59x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Lars Løkke Rasmussen
8.5%
Polymarket 8.6%polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lars Løkke Rasmussen
Last price
8.6%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
7.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$2.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Alex Vanopslagh
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Vanopslagh
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$715K
Trade this on Polymarket
Martin Lidegaard
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Martin Lidegaard
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$66K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mona Juul
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mona Juul
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$149K
Trade this on Polymarket
Morten Messerschmidt
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Morten Messerschmidt
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$2.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Inger Støjberg
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inger Støjberg
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lars Boje Mathiesen
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lars Boje Mathiesen
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$101K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pelle Dragsted
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pelle Dragsted
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$74K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pia Olsen Dyhr
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3891 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pia Olsen Dyhr
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 162 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$140K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Mette Frederiksen
  • Troels Lund Poulsen
  • Lars Løkke Rasmussen

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Next Prime Minister of Denmark after parliamentary election?". Mette Frederiksen last traded at 72.3%. Next is Troels Lund Poulsen at 17.5%. $8.3M has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 24, 2026.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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