The Prediction Markets

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Closed
Jan 25, 2026
Traded
$16.7M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jan 25, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 199 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Lê Minh Hưng
99.8%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4794 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Lê Minh Hưng
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 199 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$3.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Lê Hoài Trung
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4794 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lê Hoài Trung
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 199 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$259K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lương Tam Quang
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4794 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lương Tam Quang
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 199 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$381K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nguyễn Hòa Bình
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4794 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nguyễn Hòa Bình
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 199 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1.4M
Trade this on Polymarket
Trần Lưu Quang
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4794 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trần Lưu Quang
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 199 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4.1M
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Lê Minh Hưng
  • Lê Hoài Trung
  • Lương Tam Quang

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Next Prime Minister of Vietnam". Lê Minh Hưng last traded at 99.8%. Next is Lê Hoài Trung at 0.1%. $16.7M has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jan 25, 2026.

Vietnam’s Prime Minister is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam. The Party is scheduled to hold its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to formally elect the next Prime Minister. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly and officially assumes office as Prime Minister of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must formally assume the office of Prime Minister. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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