The Prediction Markets

Next Regional Board Chair of Västernorrland?

Closed
Sep 14, 2026
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Sep 14, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Pia Lundin
31.4%
Polymarket 46.4%(31.4% fair)polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 90.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pia Lundin
Last price
46.4%
Fair, margin removed
31.4%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
90.1¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$266
Trade this on Polymarket
Sara Nylund
24.3%
Polymarket 36%(24.3% fair)polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sara Nylund
Last price
36%
Fair, margin removed
24.3%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Anna Strandh Proos
23.7%
Polymarket 35%(23.7% fair)polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 68.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anna Strandh Proos
Last price
35%
Fair, margin removed
23.7%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
68.8¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$789
Trade this on Polymarket
Robert Thunfors
17.3%
Polymarket 25.6%(17.3% fair)polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 49.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $203 (2.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robert Thunfors
Last price
25.6%
Fair, margin removed
17.3%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
49.3¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$203 (2.03x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Polymarket
Kristina Nilsson
1.1%
Polymarket 1.6%(1.1% fair)polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristina Nilsson
Last price
1.6%
Fair, margin removed
1.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$593
Trade this on Polymarket
Jonny Lundin
0.7%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jonny Lundin
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Hans Wiklund
0.6%
Polymarket 1%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hans Wiklund
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$283
Trade this on Polymarket
Dan Rasmusson
0.5%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dan Rasmusson
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$565
Trade this on Polymarket
Jasenko Omanovic
0.4%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jasenko Omanovic
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$309
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Pia Lundin
  • Sara Nylund
  • Anna Strandh Proos

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Next Regional Board Chair of Västernorrland?". Pia Lundin last traded at 31.4%. Next is Sara Nylund at 24.3%. $23K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Sep 14, 2026.

Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Västernorrland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Västernorrland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Västernorrland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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