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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Radomir Saičić 79%
Next is Ilija Srdanović at 49.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Radomir Saičić79%79%72¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 2 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Radomir Saičić79%Kalshi 79%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Radomir Saičić
79%
79%
72¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Radomir Saičić
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Radomir Saičić
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $1K
Ilija Srdanović49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ilija Srdanović49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ilija Srdanović
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ilija Srdanović
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ilija Srdanović
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Vojislav Šešelj49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Vojislav Šešelj49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Vojislav Šešelj
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Vojislav Šešelj
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vojislav Šešelj
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Dejan Bodiroga49%49%— bid, 98¢ askpolled, 2 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Dejan Bodiroga49%Kalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Dejan Bodiroga
49%
49%
— bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Dejan Bodiroga
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejan Bodiroga
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Bogoljub Karić48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, 2 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Bogoljub Karić48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Bogoljub Karić
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Bogoljub Karić
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bogoljub Karić
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Branimir Nestorović48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, 2 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Branimir Nestorović48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Branimir Nestorović
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Branimir Nestorović
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Branimir Nestorović
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Miloš Jovanović45%45%— bid, 90¢ askpolled, 2 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Miloš Jovanović45%Kalshi 45%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Miloš Jovanović
45%
45%
— bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Miloš Jovanović
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miloš Jovanović
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
uro Macut37%37%— bid, 74¢ askpolled, 2 min ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)uro Macut37%Kalshi 37%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
uro Macut
37%
37%
— bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
uro Macut
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- uro Macut
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Vladan Petrov36.5%36.5%— bid, 73¢ askpolled, 2 min ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Vladan Petrov36.5%Kalshi 36.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Vladan Petrov
36.5%
36.5%
— bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Vladan Petrov
36.5%
Kalshi 36.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vladan Petrov
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Ana Brnabić24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 2 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Ana Brnabić24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Ana Brnabić
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Ana Brnabić
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ana Brnabić
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Show 5 more outcomesHide 5 outcomes
Miloš Vučević23.5%23.5%— bid, 47¢ askpolled, 2 min ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Miloš Vučević23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Miloš Vučević
23.5%
23.5%
— bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Miloš Vučević
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miloš Vučević
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Ivica Dačić20%20%— bid, 40¢ askpolled, 2 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Ivica Dačić20%Kalshi 20%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Ivica Dačić
20%
20%
— bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Ivica Dačić
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivica Dačić
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Aleksandar Čupić7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Aleksandar Čupić7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Aleksandar Čupić
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Aleksandar Čupić
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aleksandar Čupić
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Vladan Đokić6.5%6.5%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 2 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Vladan Đokić6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Vladan Đokić
6.5%
6.5%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Vladan Đokić
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vladan Đokić
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Dejan Šoškić3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 2 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Dejan Šoškić3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Dejan Šoškić
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Dejan Šoškić
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dejan Šoškić
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Republic Electoral Commission
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Radomir Saičić
- Ilija Srdanović
- Vojislav Šešelj
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Next Serbian presidential election winner?". Radomir Saičić leads at 79%. Next is Ilija Srdanović at 49.5%. $1K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 27, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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