The Prediction Markets

Next South Korea Presidential election winner?

Closes
Mar 27, 2031, in 53 months
Traded
$10K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
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What the markets expect

Han Dong-hoon 17%

Next is Kim Min-seok at 14.9%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Han Dong-hoon 17%Kim Min-seok 14.9%Oh Se-hoon 11.7%Jang Dong-hyeok 10.6%Kim Boo-kyum 10.6%7 others 35.2%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Han Dong-hoon
17%
Kalshi 16%(17% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Han Dong-hoon
Last price
16%
Fair, margin removed
17%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Kim Min-seok
14.9%
Kalshi 14%(14.9% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kim Min-seok
Last price
14%
Fair, margin removed
14.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Oh Se-hoon
11.7%
Kalshi 11%(11.7% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oh Se-hoon
Last price
11%
Fair, margin removed
11.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$112
Trade this on Kalshi
Jang Dong-hyeok
10.6%
Kalshi 10%(10.6% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jang Dong-hyeok
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
10.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kim Boo-kyum
10.6%
Kalshi 10%(10.6% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kim Boo-kyum
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
10.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kang Hoon-sik
8.5%
Kalshi 8%(8.5% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kang Hoon-sik
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
8.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lee Jun-seok
7.4%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lee Jun-seok
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$204
Trade this on Kalshi
Cho Kuk
4.3%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cho Kuk
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Choo Mi-ae
4.3%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Choo Mi-ae
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Kalshi
Jung Chung-rae
4.3%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jung Chung-rae
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Kalshi
Ahn Cheol-soo
3.2%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ahn Cheol-soo
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Kalshi
Lee Jin-sook
3.2%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lee Jin-sook
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$838
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: National Election Commission

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Han Dong-hoon
  • Kim Min-seok
  • Oh Se-hoon

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Next South Korea Presidential election winner?". Han Dong-hoon leads at 17%. Next is Kim Min-seok at 14.9%. $10K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 27, 2031.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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