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What the markets expect
Above 3.4900 98.5%
Next is Above 3.4950 at 95.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 3.490098.5%98.5%98¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 21s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 3.490098.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.4900
98.5%
98.5%
98¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.4900
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.4900
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.495095.5%95.5%92¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 21s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 3.495095.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.4950
95.5%
95.5%
92¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.4950
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.4950
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 3.500093%93%90¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 21s ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Above 3.500093%Kalshi 93%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Above 3.5000
93%
93%
90¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Above 3.5000
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5000
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
Above 3.505083%83%80¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 21s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Above 3.505083%Kalshi 83%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Above 3.5050
83%
83%
80¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Above 3.5050
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5050
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Above 3.510059%59%56¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 21s ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Above 3.510059%Kalshi 59%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Above 3.5100
59%
59%
56¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Above 3.5100
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5100
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
Above 3.515031%31%28¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 21s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Above 3.515031%Kalshi 31%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Above 3.5150
31%
31%
28¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Above 3.5150
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5150
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Above 3.520018.5%18.5%18¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 21s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Above 3.520018.5%Kalshi 18.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above 3.5200
18.5%
18.5%
18¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above 3.5200
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5200
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Above 3.52505.5%5.5%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 21s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Above 3.52505.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 3.5250
5.5%
5.5%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 3.5250
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5250
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 3.53004%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.53004%Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5300
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5300
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5300
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.53504%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.53504%Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5350
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5350
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5350
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Show 7 more outcomesHide 7 outcomes
Above 3.54004%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.54004%Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5400
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5400
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5400
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.54504%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.54504%Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5450
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5450
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5450
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.55004%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.55004%Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5500
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5500
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5500
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.55504%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.55504%Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5550
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5550
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5550
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.56002%2%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.56002%Kalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5600
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.5600
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5600
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.56502%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 21s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Above 3.56502%Kalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 3.5650
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 3.5650
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5650
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Above 3.57001%1%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above 3.57001%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above 3.5700
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above 3.5700
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.5700
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 3.4900
- Above 3.4950
- Above 3.5000
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "North Carolina gas prices tomorrow". Above 3.4900 leads at 98.5%. Next is Above 3.4950 at 95.5%. $5K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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