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What the markets expect
Fernando Mendoza 83%
Next is Carnell Tate at 79%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Fernando Mendoza83%83%10¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 15s ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Fernando Mendoza83%Kalshi 83%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Fernando Mendoza
83%
83%
10¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Fernando Mendoza
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Mendoza
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $127
Carnell Tate79%79%10¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 15s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Carnell Tate79%Kalshi 79%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Carnell Tate
79%
79%
10¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Carnell Tate
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carnell Tate
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $23
Jadarian Price74%74%2¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 15s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Jadarian Price74%Kalshi 74%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Jadarian Price
74%
74%
2¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Jadarian Price
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jadarian Price
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $1
Antonio Williams67%67%4¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 15s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Antonio Williams67%Kalshi 67%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Antonio Williams
67%
67%
4¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Antonio Williams
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Antonio Williams
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $15
Emmett Johnson59%59%2¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 15s ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Emmett Johnson59%Kalshi 59%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Emmett Johnson
59%
59%
2¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Emmett Johnson
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Emmett Johnson
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $12
KC Concepcion50.5%50.5%17¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 15s ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)KC Concepcion50.5%Kalshi 50.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
KC Concepcion
50.5%
50.5%
17¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
KC Concepcion
50.5%
Kalshi 50.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- KC Concepcion
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
Jordyn Tyson50%50%16¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 15s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Jordyn Tyson50%Kalshi 50%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Jordyn Tyson
50%
50%
16¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Jordyn Tyson
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jordyn Tyson
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $1K
Jonah Coleman47%47%10¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 15s ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Jonah Coleman47%Kalshi 47%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Jonah Coleman
47%
47%
10¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Jonah Coleman
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonah Coleman
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
Jeremiyah Love45.5%45.5%17¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 15s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Jeremiyah Love45.5%Kalshi 45.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Jeremiyah Love
45.5%
45.5%
17¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Jeremiyah Love
45.5%
Kalshi 45.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiyah Love
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Denzel Boston44.5%44.5%5¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 15s ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Denzel Boston44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Denzel Boston
44.5%
44.5%
5¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Denzel Boston
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denzel Boston
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Germie Bernard42.5%42.5%6¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 15s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Germie Bernard42.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Germie Bernard
42.5%
42.5%
6¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Germie Bernard
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Germie Bernard
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Carson Beck40.5%40.5%2¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 15s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Carson Beck40.5%Kalshi 40.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Carson Beck
40.5%
40.5%
2¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Carson Beck
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carson Beck
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Omar Cooper Jr.38.5%38.5%3¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 15s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Omar Cooper Jr.38.5%Kalshi 38.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Omar Cooper Jr.
38.5%
38.5%
3¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Omar Cooper Jr.
38.5%
Kalshi 38.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Omar Cooper Jr.
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Kenyon Sadiq38%38%2¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 15s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Kenyon Sadiq38%Kalshi 38%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kenyon Sadiq
38%
38%
2¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kenyon Sadiq
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenyon Sadiq
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Makai Lemon38%38%2¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 15s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Makai Lemon38%Kalshi 38%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Makai Lemon
38%
38%
2¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Makai Lemon
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Makai Lemon
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Mike Washington Jr.37.5%37.5%1¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 15s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Mike Washington Jr.37.5%Kalshi 37.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Mike Washington Jr.
37.5%
37.5%
1¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Mike Washington Jr.
37.5%
Kalshi 37.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mike Washington Jr.
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Elijah Sarratt34.5%34.5%1¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 15s ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Elijah Sarratt34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Elijah Sarratt
34.5%
34.5%
1¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Elijah Sarratt
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elijah Sarratt
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
Zachariah Branch30%30%1¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 15s ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Zachariah Branch30%Kalshi 30%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Zachariah Branch
30%
30%
1¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Zachariah Branch
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zachariah Branch
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
Eli Stowers29%29%1¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 15s ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Eli Stowers29%Kalshi 29%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Eli Stowers
29%
29%
1¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Eli Stowers
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Stowers
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
Ty Simpson26.5%26.5%1¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 15s ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Ty Simpson26.5%Kalshi 26.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Ty Simpson
26.5%
26.5%
1¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Ty Simpson
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Simpson
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
Chris Bell25%25%1¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 15s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Chris Bell25%Kalshi 25%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Chris Bell
25%
25%
1¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Chris Bell
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Bell
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Chris Brazzell II25%25%1¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 15s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Chris Brazzell II25%Kalshi 25%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Chris Brazzell II
25%
25%
1¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Chris Brazzell II
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Brazzell II
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Drew Allar25%25%1¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 15s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Drew Allar25%Kalshi 25%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Drew Allar
25%
25%
1¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Drew Allar
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drew Allar
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
De'Zhaun Stribling21%21%1¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 15s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)De'Zhaun Stribling21%Kalshi 21%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
De'Zhaun Stribling
21%
21%
1¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
De'Zhaun Stribling
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- De'Zhaun Stribling
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $64
Garrett Nussmeier18.5%18.5%1¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 15s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Garrett Nussmeier18.5%Kalshi 18.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Garrett Nussmeier
18.5%
18.5%
1¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Garrett Nussmeier
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Nussmeier
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Fernando Mendoza
- Carnell Tate
- Jadarian Price
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Offensive Rookie of the Year Finalists". Fernando Mendoza leads at 83%. Next is Carnell Tate at 79%. $1K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 22, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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