The Prediction Markets

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

FinalKickoff
Traded
$262K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 16, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Genter Drummond
44.3%
Polymarket 42.5%(44.3% fair)polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Genter Drummond
Last price
42.5%
Fair, margin removed
44.3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$115K
Trade this on Polymarket
Chip Keating
23.9%
Polymarket 22.9%(23.9% fair)polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chip Keating
Last price
22.9%
Fair, margin removed
23.9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
12.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mike Mazzei
14.8%
Polymarket 14.2%(14.8% fair)polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 16.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $595 (5.95x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Mazzei
Last price
14.2%
Fair, margin removed
14.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
16.8¢
Sell Yes
11.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$595 (5.95x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Charles McCall
14.6%
Polymarket 14%(14.6% fair)polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles McCall
Last price
14%
Fair, margin removed
14.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$117K
Trade this on Polymarket
Matt Pinnell
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Pinnell
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jake Merrick
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jake Merrick
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Leisa Mitchell Haynes
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Leisa Mitchell Haynes
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ryan Walters
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Walters
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Genter Drummond
  • Chip Keating
  • Mike Mazzei

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner". Genter Drummond last traded at 44.3%. Next is Chip Keating at 23.9%. $262K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 16, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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