The Prediction Markets

Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau

Starts in 6 hKickoff
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau 55.5%

Next is Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau Match O/U 21.5
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau Game Spread +/-0.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau Match O/U 22.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau Match O/U 23.5
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau Set 1 Winner
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Matteo Martineau (-1.5) vs Pedro Martinez (+1.5)
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$901
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Pedro Martinez (-1.5) vs Matteo Martineau (+1.5)
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
  • Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau
  • Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau". Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau leads at 55.5%. Next is Orleans: Pedro Martinez vs Matteo Martineau at 50%. $1K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Martinez and Matteo Martineau in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Martinez' if Pedro Martinez advances against Matteo Martineau. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Pedro Martinez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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