The Prediction Markets

Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, in 7 hours
Traded
$18K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 4.4350 99.5%

Next is Above 4.4450 at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 4.4350
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 33s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4350
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4450
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 33s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4450
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4500
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 33s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4500
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
91¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4600
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4600
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4550
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4550
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$235
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4400
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 33s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4400
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
91¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4650
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4650
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$239
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4700
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4700
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$441
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4750
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4750
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.5100
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.5100
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Above 4.4800
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4800
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4850
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4850
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4900
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4900
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4950
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4950
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.5000
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.5000
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.5050
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.5050
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.5150
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.5150
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 4.4350
  • Above 4.4450
  • Above 4.4500

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow". Above 4.4350 leads at 99.5%. Next is Above 4.4450 at 99%. $18K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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