The Prediction Markets

Piura Mayoral Election Winner

Closed
Oct 5, 2026
Traded
$41K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi
91%
Polymarket 95%(91% fair)polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi
Last price
95%
Fair, margin removed
91%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
90.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán
2.8%
Polymarket 3%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot
1.3%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$594
Trade this on Polymarket
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena
1.3%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$481
Trade this on Polymarket
Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$602
Trade this on Polymarket
Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$616
Trade this on Polymarket
Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Polymarket
John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$610
Trade this on Polymarket
Walther Guerrero Silva
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Walther Guerrero Silva
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$876
Trade this on Polymarket
José Luis Morey Requejo
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
José Luis Morey Requejo
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$840
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$430
Trade this on Polymarket
Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$381
Trade this on Polymarket
Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Guillermo Chávez Timoteo
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guillermo Chávez Timoteo
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$422
Trade this on Polymarket
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 89 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$492
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: jne.gob.pe

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi
  • Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán
  • Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Piura Mayoral Election Winner". Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi last traded at 91%. Next is Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán at 2.8%. $41K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Oct 4, 2026.

The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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