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Trading ended on Oct 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Allyson59%59%57¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 94 h ago61¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Allyson59%Polymarket 59%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Allyson
59%
59%
57¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 94 h ago
61¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Allyson
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Allyson
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $46K
Placeholder 150%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 150%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 1
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 1
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 1
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 250%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 250%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 2
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 2
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 2
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 350%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 350%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 3
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 3
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 3
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 450%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 450%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 4
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 4
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 4
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 550%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 550%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 5
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 650%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 650%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 6
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 6
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 6
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 750%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 750%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 7
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 7
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 7
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 850%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 850%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 8
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 8
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 8
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 950%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 950%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 9
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 9
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 9
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Placeholder 1050%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 1050%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 10
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 10
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 10
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 1150%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 1150%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 11
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 11
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 11
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 1250%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 1250%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 12
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 12
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 12
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 1350%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 1350%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 13
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 13
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 13
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 1450%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 1450%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 14
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 14
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 14
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 1550%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 1550%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 15
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 15
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 15
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Placeholder 1650%50%No order bookpolled, 94 h agoNo askPlaceholder 1650%Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Placeholder 16
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 94 h ago
No ask
Placeholder 16
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 94 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Placeholder 16
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Cadu de Lula38%38%36¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 94 h ago40¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Cadu de Lula38%Polymarket 38%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Cadu de Lula
38%
38%
36¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 94 h ago
40¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Cadu de Lula
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cadu de Lula
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $34K
Arinalda do MLB0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 94 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Arinalda do MLB0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Arinalda do MLB
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 94 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Arinalda do MLB
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arinalda do MLB
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $556
Carlos Jararaca0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 94 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Carlos Jararaca0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Carlos Jararaca
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 94 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Carlos Jararaca
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Jararaca
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $579
Dário Barbosa0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 94 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Dário Barbosa0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dário Barbosa
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 94 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dário Barbosa
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dário Barbosa
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $575
Henrique Lyra0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 94 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Henrique Lyra0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Henrique Lyra
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 94 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Henrique Lyra
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Henrique Lyra
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $584
lvaro Dias0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 94 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)lvaro Dias0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
lvaro Dias
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 94 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
lvaro Dias
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- lvaro Dias
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $6K
Professor Roberio Paulino0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 94 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Professor Roberio Paulino0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Professor Roberio Paulino
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 94 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Professor Roberio Paulino
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Professor Roberio Paulino
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $698
Rodrigo Bolsonaro0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 94 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Rodrigo Bolsonaro0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 94 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 94 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rodrigo Bolsonaro
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 3 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $671
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: tse.jus.br
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Allyson
- Placeholder 1
- Placeholder 2
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner". Allyson last traded at 59%. Next is Placeholder 1 at 50%. $90K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Oct 4, 2026.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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