The Prediction Markets

San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner

Closes
Jun 7, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$40K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Ruth González Silva 52%

Next is Enrique Galindo Ceballos at 10.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Ruth González Silva 52%Enrique Galindo Ceballos 10.7%Verónica Rodríguez Hernández 8.3%Aid Ávila Covarrubias 4.2%Gerardo Sánchez Zumaya 4.2%15 others 20.6%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Ruth González Silva
52%
Polymarket 62.5%(52% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ruth González Silva
Last price
62.5%
Fair, margin removed
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Polymarket
Enrique Galindo Ceballos
10.7%
Polymarket 12.9%(10.7% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 17.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $568 (5.68x)
Polymarket
Contract
Enrique Galindo Ceballos
Last price
12.9%
Fair, margin removed
10.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17.6¢
Sell Yes
8.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$568 (5.68x)
Volume
$607
Trade this on Polymarket
Verónica Rodríguez Hernández
8.3%
Polymarket 10%(8.3% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Verónica Rodríguez Hernández
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
8.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Polymarket
Aid Ávila Covarrubias
4.2%
Polymarket 5.1%(4.2% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aid Ávila Covarrubias
Last price
5.1%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.3¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,075 (10.8x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gerardo Sánchez Zumaya
4.2%
Polymarket 5%(4.2% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gerardo Sánchez Zumaya
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$834
Trade this on Polymarket
Daniel Montelongo
3.4%
Polymarket 4.1%(3.4% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Montelongo
Last price
4.1%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$502
Trade this on Polymarket
Ana Dora Cabrera
2.8%
Polymarket 3.4%(2.8% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ana Dora Cabrera
Last price
3.4%
Fair, margin removed
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Josefina Salazar Báez
2.7%
Polymarket 3.2%(2.7% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josefina Salazar Báez
Last price
3.2%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Polymarket
Carlos Arreola Mallol
2.6%
Polymarket 3.2%(2.6% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Arreola Mallol
Last price
3.2%
Fair, margin removed
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$443
Trade this on Polymarket
Rubén Guajardo Barrera
2.5%
Polymarket 3%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rubén Guajardo Barrera
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$406
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Marvely Costanzo Rangel
2.2%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marvely Costanzo Rangel
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$378
Trade this on Polymarket
Cuauhtli Fernando Badillo Moreno
1.4%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cuauhtli Fernando Badillo Moreno
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$510
Trade this on Polymarket
Sara Rocha Medina
0.7%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sara Rocha Medina
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Polymarket
José Guadalupe Torres Sánchez
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
José Guadalupe Torres Sánchez
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Polymarket
Ricardo Gallardo Juárez
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ricardo Gallardo Juárez
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$338
Trade this on Polymarket
Juan Manuel Navarro Muñiz
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juan Manuel Navarro Muñiz
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$385
Trade this on Polymarket
Antonio Lorca Valle
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Antonio Lorca Valle
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Polymarket
Rita Ozalia Rodríguez
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rita Ozalia Rodríguez
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$353
Trade this on Polymarket
Marco Antonio Gama Basarte
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marco Antonio Gama Basarte
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$355
Trade this on Polymarket
Rosa Icela Rodríguez Velázquez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rosa Icela Rodríguez Velázquez
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$347
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Ruth González Silva
  • Enrique Galindo Ceballos
  • Verónica Rodríguez Hernández

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner". Ruth González Silva leads at 52%. Next is Enrique Galindo Ceballos at 10.7%. $40K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 7, 2027.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in San Luis Potosí on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 San Luis Potosí gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of San Luis Potosí and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of San Luis Potosí and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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