The Prediction Markets

Soda point of sale spend array index in November 2026

Closes
Dec 3, 2026, in 28 days
Traded
$26K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

Above 94 98%

Next is Above 92 at 96%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 94
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 94
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 92
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 92
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 86
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 86
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 84
94.5%
Kalshi 94.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 84
Last price
94.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 96
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 96
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 88
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 88
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 98
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 98
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 100
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 104
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 104
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 102
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 102
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Carbon Arc

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 94
  • Above 92
  • Above 86

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Soda point of sale spend array index in November 2026". Above 94 leads at 98%. Next is Above 92 at 96%. $26K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 3, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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