The Prediction Markets

South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?

Closed
Mar 18, 2026
Traded
$20K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 18, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 219 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Down
99.9%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5269 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Down
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 219 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
No Change
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5269 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
No Change
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 219 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Polymarket
Up
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5269 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Up
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 219 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Down
  • No Change
  • Up

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?". Down last traded at 99.9%. Next is No Change at 0.1%. $20K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 18, 2026.

This is a market about the monthly variation in South Korea’s unemployment rate, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the South Korea Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS) in the monthly Economically Active Population Survey. This market will resolve to “Up” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is higher in February than in the last published month. This market will resolve to “No Change” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is the same in February as it was in the last published month. This market will resolve to “Down” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is lower in February than in the last published month. The resolution sources for this market are the MODS Economically Active Population Surveys for the relevant months, released every month at https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20105020000&bid=11732&eng_board_type=01 The next data release is scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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