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What the markets expect
7,600 or above 96%
Next is 7,615 or above at 92%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
7,600 or above96%96%90¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 47s ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)7,600 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
7,600 or above
96%
96%
90¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
7,600 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,600 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
7,615 or above92%92%86¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 47s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)7,615 or above92%Kalshi 92%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
7,615 or above
92%
92%
86¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
7,615 or above
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,615 or above
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $1
7,605 or above91%91%86¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 47s ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)7,605 or above91%Kalshi 91%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
7,605 or above
91%
91%
86¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
7,605 or above
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,605 or above
- Last price
- 91%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
7,610 or above90%90%86¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 47s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)7,610 or above90%Kalshi 90%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
7,610 or above
90%
90%
86¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
7,610 or above
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,610 or above
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
7,620 or above87.5%87.5%86¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 47s ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)7,620 or above87.5%Kalshi 87.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
7,620 or above
87.5%
87.5%
86¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
7,620 or above
87.5%
Kalshi 87.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,620 or above
- Last price
- 87.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
7,625 or above81%81%76¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 47s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)7,625 or above81%Kalshi 81%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
7,625 or above
81%
81%
76¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
7,625 or above
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,625 or above
- Last price
- 81%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
7,630 or above79.5%79.5%76¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 47s ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)7,630 or above79.5%Kalshi 79.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
7,630 or above
79.5%
79.5%
76¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
7,630 or above
79.5%
Kalshi 79.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,630 or above
- Last price
- 79.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
7,635 or above79%79%76¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 47s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)7,635 or above79%Kalshi 79%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
7,635 or above
79%
79%
76¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
7,635 or above
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,635 or above
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $12
7,640 or above73%73%65¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 47s ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)7,640 or above73%Kalshi 73%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
7,640 or above
73%
73%
65¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
7,640 or above
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,640 or above
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
7,645 or above67%67%65¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 47s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)7,645 or above67%Kalshi 67%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
7,645 or above
67%
67%
65¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
7,645 or above
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,645 or above
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Show 50 more outcomesHide 50 outcomes
7,650 or above62%62%61¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 47s ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)7,650 or above62%Kalshi 62%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
7,650 or above
62%
62%
61¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
7,650 or above
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,650 or above
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $81
7,655 or above51.5%51.5%46¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 47s ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)7,655 or above51.5%Kalshi 51.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
7,655 or above
51.5%
51.5%
46¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
7,655 or above
51.5%
Kalshi 51.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,655 or above
- Last price
- 51.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
7,660 or above49%49%38¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 47s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)7,660 or above49%Kalshi 49%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
7,660 or above
49%
49%
38¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
7,660 or above
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,660 or above
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $63
7,665 or above44%44%32¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 47s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)7,665 or above44%Kalshi 44%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
7,665 or above
44%
44%
32¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
7,665 or above
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,665 or above
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $91
7,670 or above35%35%28¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 47s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)7,670 or above35%Kalshi 35%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
7,670 or above
35%
35%
28¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
7,670 or above
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,670 or above
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
7,675 or above34%34%24¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 47s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)7,675 or above34%Kalshi 34%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
7,675 or above
34%
34%
24¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
7,675 or above
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,675 or above
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $3K
7,680 or above24.5%24.5%17¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 47s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)7,680 or above24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
7,680 or above
24.5%
24.5%
17¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
7,680 or above
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,680 or above
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
7,685 or above19.5%19.5%12¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 47s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)7,685 or above19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
7,685 or above
19.5%
19.5%
12¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
7,685 or above
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,685 or above
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
7,695 or above18%18%7¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 47s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)7,695 or above18%Kalshi 18%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
7,695 or above
18%
18%
7¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
7,695 or above
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,695 or above
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $1
7,690 or above16%16%9¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 47s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)7,690 or above16%Kalshi 16%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
7,690 or above
16%
16%
9¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
7,690 or above
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,690 or above
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
7,700 or above15%15%5¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 47s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)7,700 or above15%Kalshi 15%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
7,700 or above
15%
15%
5¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
7,700 or above
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,700 or above
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $788
7,705 or above7.5%7.5%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 47s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)7,705 or above7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
7,705 or above
7.5%
7.5%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
7,705 or above
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,705 or above
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
7,710 or above5.5%5.5%2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 47s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)7,710 or above5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
7,710 or above
5.5%
5.5%
2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
7,710 or above
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,710 or above
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
7,715 or above3%3%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 47s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)7,715 or above3%Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
7,715 or above
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
7,715 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,715 or above
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
7,720 or above2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 47s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)7,720 or above2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
7,720 or above
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
7,720 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,720 or above
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
7,725 or above2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)7,725 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
7,725 or above
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
7,725 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,725 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
7,740 or above2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)7,740 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
7,740 or above
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
7,740 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,740 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $12
7,730 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 47s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)7,730 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
7,730 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
7,730 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,730 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
7,735 or above1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)7,735 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
7,735 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
7,735 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,735 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
7,745 or above1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)7,745 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
7,745 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
7,745 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,745 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
7,750 or above1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)7,750 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
7,750 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
7,750 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,750 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
7,755 or above1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)7,755 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
7,755 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
7,755 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,755 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
7,760 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,760 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,760 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,760 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,760 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,765 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,765 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,765 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,765 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,765 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,770 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,770 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,770 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,770 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,770 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,775 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,775 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,775 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,775 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,775 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,780 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,780 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,780 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,780 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,780 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,785 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,785 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,785 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,785 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,785 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,790 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,790 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,790 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,790 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,790 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,795 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,795 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,795 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,795 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,795 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,800 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,800 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,800 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,800 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,800 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,805 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,805 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,805 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,805 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,805 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,810 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,810 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,810 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,810 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,810 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,815 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,815 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,815 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,815 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,815 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,820 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,820 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,820 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,820 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,820 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,825 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,825 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,825 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,825 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,825 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,830 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,830 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,830 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,830 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,830 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,835 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,835 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,835 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,835 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,835 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,840 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,840 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,840 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,840 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,840 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,845 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,845 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,845 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,845 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,845 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,850 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,850 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,850 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,850 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,850 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,855 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,855 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,855 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,855 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,855 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,860 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,860 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,860 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,860 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,860 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,865 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,865 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,865 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,865 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,865 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,870 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,870 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,870 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,870 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,870 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,875 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,875 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,875 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,875 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,875 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,880 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,880 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,880 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,880 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,880 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,885 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,885 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,885 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,885 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,885 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,890 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,890 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,890 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,890 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,890 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
7,895 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)7,895 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,895 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
7,895 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7,895 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: For example, Google Finance
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 7,600 or above
- 7,615 or above
- 7,605 or above
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.035 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "S&P price on Oct 23, 2026 at 10am EDT?". 7,600 or above leads at 96%. Next is 7,615 or above at 92%. $4K has traded across 60 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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