The Prediction Markets

S&P price on Oct 23, 2026 at 1pm EDT?

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, closed
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
10 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

7,600 or above 99%

Next is 7,605 or above at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 10 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
7,600 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 10 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
7,600 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
7,605 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 10 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
7,605 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
7,610 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 10 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
7,610 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$192
Trade this on Kalshi
7,615 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 10 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
7,615 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
7,620 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 10 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
7,620 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
7,625 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 10 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
7,625 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
7,630 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 10 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
7,630 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
90¢
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
7,635 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 10 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
7,635 or above
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$78
Trade this on Kalshi
7,640 or above
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,640 or above
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
7,645 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,645 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$326
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 50 more outcomes
7,650 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,650 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Kalshi
7,655 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,655 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$636
Trade this on Kalshi
7,660 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,660 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$520
Trade this on Kalshi
7,665 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,665 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
7,670 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,670 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
7,675 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,675 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
7,680 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,680 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
7,685 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,685 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
7,690 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,690 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
7,695 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,695 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
7,700 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,700 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Kalshi
7,705 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,705 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Kalshi
7,710 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,710 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Kalshi
7,715 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,715 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
7,720 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,720 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
7,725 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,725 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,730 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,730 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,735 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,735 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,740 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,740 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,745 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,745 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,755 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,755 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,760 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,760 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,765 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,765 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,770 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,770 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,775 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,775 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,780 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,780 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,785 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,785 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,790 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,790 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,795 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,795 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,800 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,800 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,805 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,805 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,810 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,810 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,815 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,815 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,820 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,820 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,825 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,825 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,830 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,830 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,835 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,835 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,840 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,840 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,845 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,845 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,850 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,850 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,855 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,855 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,860 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,860 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,865 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,865 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,870 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,870 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,875 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,875 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,880 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,880 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,885 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,885 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,890 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,890 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
7,895 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
7,895 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: For example, Google Finance

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 7,600 or above
  • 7,605 or above
  • 7,610 or above

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.035 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "S&P price on Oct 23, 2026 at 1pm EDT?". 7,600 or above leads at 99%. Next is 7,605 or above at 99%. $3K has traded across 60 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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