The Prediction Markets

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Closed
Apr 13, 2026
Traded
$151K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Tatiana Auguste
65.9%
Polymarket 66%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tatiana Auguste
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$46K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Polymarket
Adrienne Charles
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrienne Charles
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Benjamin Rankin
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Benjamin Rankin
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Maria Cantore
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maria Cantore
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Maxime Beaudoin
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maxime Beaudoin
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Tatiana Auguste
  • Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné
  • Adrienne Charles

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Terrebone By-Election Winner". Tatiana Auguste last traded at 65.9%. Next is Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 33.5%. $151K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 13, 2026.

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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