The Prediction Markets

Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner

Closed
Oct 5, 2026
Traded
$36K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
95.7%
Polymarket 96.3%(95.7% fair)polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 98.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
Last price
96.3%
Fair, margin removed
95.7%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
98.4¢
Sell Yes
94.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Víctor Julio León Álvarez
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Víctor Julio León Álvarez
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$830
Trade this on Polymarket
Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$868
Trade this on Polymarket
Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$924
Trade this on Polymarket
Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$924
Trade this on Polymarket
José María Alberto Arcila Corales
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
José María Alberto Arcila Corales
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
José Rodar Miranda Prado
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
José Rodar Miranda Prado
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$446
Trade this on Polymarket
Luis Ángel Zavala Espino
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luis Ángel Zavala Espino
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$943
Trade this on Polymarket
Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$937
Trade this on Polymarket
Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 92 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$573
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: jne.gob.pe

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
  • Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas
  • Víctor Julio León Álvarez

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner". Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera last traded at 95.7%. Next is Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas at 3.1%. $36K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Oct 4, 2026.

The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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