The Prediction Markets

Uros Medic vs. Kevin Holland: Round of Victory

Closes
Nov 29, 2026, in 16 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

Uros Medic to win in Round 1 31.9%

Next is Decision / Draw / No Contest at 22.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Uros Medic to win in Round 1 31.9%Decision / Draw / No Contest 22.5%Kevin Holland to win in Round 1 15.5%Uros Medic to win in Round 2 13.2%Kevin Holland to win in Round 2 8.5%2 others 8.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Uros Medic to win in Round 1
31.9%
Kalshi 34%(31.9% fair)polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uros Medic to win in Round 1
Last price
34%
Fair, margin removed
31.9%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Kalshi
Decision / Draw / No Contest
22.5%
Kalshi 24%(22.5% fair)polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Decision / Draw / No Contest
Last price
24%
Fair, margin removed
22.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kevin Holland to win in Round 1
15.5%
Kalshi 16.5%(15.5% fair)polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kevin Holland to win in Round 1
Last price
16.5%
Fair, margin removed
15.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Uros Medic to win in Round 2
13.2%
Kalshi 14%(13.1% fair)polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uros Medic to win in Round 2
Last price
14%
Fair, margin removed
13.1%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Kevin Holland to win in Round 2
8.5%
Kalshi 9%(8.5% fair)polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kevin Holland to win in Round 2
Last price
9%
Fair, margin removed
8.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Kalshi
Kevin Holland to win in Round 3
5.6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kevin Holland to win in Round 3
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$860
Trade this on Kalshi
Uros Medic to win in Round 3
2.8%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uros Medic to win in Round 3
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, Paramount+

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Uros Medic to win in Round 1
  • Decision / Draw / No Contest
  • Kevin Holland to win in Round 1

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Uros Medic vs. Kevin Holland: Round of Victory". Uros Medic to win in Round 1 leads at 31.9%. Next is Decision / Draw / No Contest at 22.5%. $1K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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