The Prediction Markets

US gas prices this week

Closed
Oct 12, 2026
Traded
$241K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 16 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 4.1600
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 406 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1600
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1800
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 406 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1800
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2000
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 406 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2000
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2200
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 406 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2200
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2400
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2400
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2600
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 406 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2600
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2800
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2800
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.3000
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.3000
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.3200
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.3200
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.3400
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.3400
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 11 more outcomes
Above 4.3600
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.3600
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.3800
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.3800
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4000
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4000
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4200
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4200
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4400
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4400
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4600
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4600
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4800
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4800
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.5000
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.5000
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.5200
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.5200
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.5400
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.5400
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.5600
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 406 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.5600
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 4.1600
  • Above 4.1800
  • Above 4.2000

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "US gas prices this week". Above 4.1600 last traded at 99%. Next is Above 4.1800 at 99%. $241K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 12, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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