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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Strait / Hormuz / Blockade 99.5%
Next is Apple / AAPL at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Strait / Hormuz / Blockade99.5%99.5%99.1¢ bid, 99.8¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed99.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100 (1.00x)Strait / Hormuz / Blockade99.5%Polymarket 99.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Strait / Hormuz / Blockade
99.5%
99.5%
99.1¢ bid, 99.8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
99.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Strait / Hormuz / Blockade
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Strait / Hormuz / Blockade
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 99.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100 (1.00x)
- Volume
- $270
Apple / AAPL99%Not listed99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo askApple / AAPL99%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Apple / AAPL
99%
Not listed
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
Apple / AAPL
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Apple / AAPL
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $3K
Eli Lilly / LLY99%Not listed99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo askEli Lilly / LLY99%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Eli Lilly / LLY
99%
Not listed
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
Eli Lilly / LLY
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eli Lilly / LLY
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $3K
Fox News99%Not listed99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo askFox News99%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Fox News
99%
Not listed
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
Fox News
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fox News
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $2K
General Motors / GM99%Not listed99%89¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo askGeneral Motors / GM99%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
General Motors / GM
99%
Not listed
99%
89¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
General Motors / GM
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- General Motors / GM
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- Volume
- $2K
Pfizer / PFE99%Not listed99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo askPfizer / PFE99%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Pfizer / PFE
99%
Not listed
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
Pfizer / PFE
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pfizer / PFE
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $2K
X / Twitter99%Not listed99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo askX / Twitter99%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
X / Twitter
99%
Not listed
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
X / Twitter
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- X / Twitter
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $3K
China98.7%98.7%98.4¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)China98.7%Polymarket 98.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
China
98.7%
98.7%
98.4¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
China
98.7%
Polymarket 98.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- China
- Last price
- 98.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Veto98.6%98.6%98.1¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Veto98.6%Polymarket 98.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Veto
98.6%
98.6%
98.1¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Veto
98.6%
Polymarket 98.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Veto
- Last price
- 98.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $118
Uber98%Not listed98%94¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo askUber98%Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
Uber
98%
Not listed
98%
94¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
Uber
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
Show 77 more outcomesHide 77 outcomes
SpaceX / SPCX94%Not listed94%94¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)SpaceX / SPCX94%Kalshi 94%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
SpaceX / SPCX
94%
Not listed
94%
94¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
SpaceX / SPCX
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SpaceX / SPCX
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $2K
Israel93.5%93.5%90¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Israel93.5%Polymarket 93.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Israel
93.5%
93.5%
90¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Israel
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Israel
- Last price
- 93.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Transgender93.5%93.5%90¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Transgender93.5%Polymarket 93.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Transgender
93.5%
93.5%
90¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Transgender
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Transgender
- Last price
- 93.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $19
Hyundai / HYMTF91%Not listed91%91¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Hyundai / HYMTF91%Kalshi 91%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Hyundai / HYMTF
91%
Not listed
91%
91¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Hyundai / HYMTF
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hyundai / HYMTF
- Last price
- 91%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $341
Impeach / Impeachment / Impeached89.5%89.5%81¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Impeach / Impeachment / Impeached89.5%Polymarket 89.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Impeach / Impeachment / Impeached
89.5%
89.5%
81¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Impeach / Impeachment / Impeached
89.5%
Polymarket 89.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Impeach / Impeachment / Impeached
- Last price
- 89.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Keep America Great87%87%77¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Keep America Great87%Polymarket 87%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Keep America Great
87%
87%
77¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Keep America Great
87%
Polymarket 87%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keep America Great
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $8
Congratulations / Congrats85.5%85.5%74¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Congratulations / Congrats85.5%Polymarket 85.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Congratulations / Congrats
85.5%
85.5%
74¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Congratulations / Congrats
85.5%
Polymarket 85.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Congratulations / Congrats
- Last price
- 85.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $8
MS NOW / MSNBC85%Not listed85%85¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 h ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)MS NOW / MSNBC85%Kalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
MS NOW / MSNBC
85%
Not listed
85%
85¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
MS NOW / MSNBC
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- MS NOW / MSNBC
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $61
TikTok81%Not listed81%67¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 1 h ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)TikTok81%Kalshi 81%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
TikTok
81%
Not listed
81%
67¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
TikTok
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- TikTok
- Last price
- 81%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $45
Space Force78.5%78.5%60¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Space Force78.5%Polymarket 78.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Space Force
78.5%
78.5%
60¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Space Force
78.5%
Polymarket 78.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Space Force
- Last price
- 78.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $10
Bibi77.5%77.5%62¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Bibi77.5%Polymarket 77.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Bibi
77.5%
77.5%
62¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
93¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Bibi
77.5%
Polymarket 77.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bibi
- Last price
- 77.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $19
Voter Fraud77.5%77.5%57¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Voter Fraud77.5%Polymarket 77.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Voter Fraud
77.5%
77.5%
57¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Voter Fraud
77.5%
Polymarket 77.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Voter Fraud
- Last price
- 77.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $56
Meta77%Not listed77%61¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 1 h ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Meta77%Kalshi 77%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Meta
77%
Not listed
77%
61¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Meta
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Meta
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $106
ExxonMobil / XOM76%Not listed76%61¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 1 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)ExxonMobil / XOM76%Kalshi 76%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
ExxonMobil / XOM
76%
Not listed
76%
61¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
ExxonMobil / XOM
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- ExxonMobil / XOM
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $151
Rigged Election74%74%50¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Rigged Election74%Polymarket 74%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Rigged Election
74%
74%
50¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Rigged Election
74%
Polymarket 74%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rigged Election
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $167
Amazon / AMZN73%Not listed73%65¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 h ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Amazon / AMZN73%Kalshi 73%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Amazon / AMZN
73%
Not listed
73%
65¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Amazon / AMZN
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amazon / AMZN
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $15
Nvidia / NVDA70%Not listed70%70¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 1 h ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Nvidia / NVDA70%Kalshi 70%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Nvidia / NVDA
70%
Not listed
70%
70¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Nvidia / NVDA
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nvidia / NVDA
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $3
Dell67%Not listed67%61¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 1 h ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Dell67%Kalshi 67%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Dell
67%
Not listed
67%
61¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Dell
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dell
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $142
Shut Up66.5%66.5%40¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Shut Up66.5%Polymarket 66.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Shut Up
66.5%
66.5%
40¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
93¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Shut Up
66.5%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Shut Up
- Last price
- 66.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $1
Anthropic / Claude66%Not listed66%38¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 1 h ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Anthropic / Claude66%Kalshi 66%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Anthropic / Claude
66%
Not listed
66%
38¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Anthropic / Claude
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anthropic / Claude
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $545
Clown64%64%31¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Clown64%Polymarket 64%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Clown
64%
64%
31¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Clown
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Clown
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Chevron / CVX62%Not listed62%36¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 1 h ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Chevron / CVX62%Kalshi 62%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Chevron / CVX
62%
Not listed
62%
36¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Chevron / CVX
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chevron / CVX
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $18
Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz62%Not listed62%62¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 1 h ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz62%Kalshi 62%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz
62%
Not listed
62%
62¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $5
TSMC / TSM62%Not listed62%49¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 1 h ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)TSMC / TSM62%Kalshi 62%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
TSMC / TSM
62%
Not listed
62%
49¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
TSMC / TSM
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- TSMC / TSM
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $25
Tesla / TSLA61%Not listed61%50¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 1 h ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Tesla / TSLA61%Kalshi 61%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Tesla / TSLA
61%
Not listed
61%
50¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Tesla / TSLA
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tesla / TSLA
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $514
Gay58.5%58.5%21¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Gay58.5%Polymarket 58.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Gay
58.5%
58.5%
21¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Gay
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gay
- Last price
- 58.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
Fox NewsPolymarket: “Fake News”57.5%57.5%17¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Fox News57.5%Polymarket 57.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Fox News
Polymarket: “Fake News”
57.5%
57.5%
17¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Fox News
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fake News
- Last price
- 57.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Micron / MU56%Not listed56%55¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 1 h ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Micron / MU56%Kalshi 56%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Micron / MU
56%
Not listed
56%
55¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Micron / MU
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Micron / MU
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $41
Turning Point56%Not listed56%33¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 1 h ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Turning Point56%Kalshi 56%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Turning Point
56%
Not listed
56%
33¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Turning Point
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Turning Point
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $37
JPMorgan / JPM55%Not listed55%40¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 1 h ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)JPMorgan / JPM55%Kalshi 55%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
JPMorgan / JPM
55%
Not listed
55%
40¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
JPMorgan / JPM
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- JPMorgan / JPM
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $111
Nazi54.5%54.5%12¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Nazi54.5%Polymarket 54.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Nazi
54.5%
54.5%
12¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Nazi
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nazi
- Last price
- 54.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
BBC52%Not listed52%42¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 h ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)BBC52%Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
BBC
52%
Not listed
52%
42¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
BBC
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BBC
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $192
Honda / HMC52%Not listed52%36¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 h ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Honda / HMC52%Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Honda / HMC
52%
Not listed
52%
36¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Honda / HMC
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Honda / HMC
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $154
Corrupt Elections51%51%3¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Corrupt Elections51%Polymarket 51%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Corrupt Elections
51%
51%
3¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Corrupt Elections
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Corrupt Elections
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $54
IBM51%Not listed51%34¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 1 h ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)IBM51%Kalshi 51%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
IBM
51%
Not listed
51%
34¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
IBM
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- IBM
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $53
Third Term51%51%5¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Third Term51%Polymarket 51%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Third Term
51%
51%
5¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Third Term
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Third Term
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Filibuster50.5%50.5%3¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Filibuster50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Filibuster
50.5%
50.5%
3¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Filibuster
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Filibuster
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Mandate50%50%3¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Mandate50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Mandate
50%
50%
3¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Mandate
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mandate
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Paid Protester50%50%1¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Paid Protester50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Paid Protester
50%
50%
1¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Paid Protester
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Paid Protester
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $4
Refund50%50%4¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Refund50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Refund
50%
50%
4¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Refund
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Refund
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
Artificial49.5%49.5%4¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Artificial49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Artificial
49.5%
49.5%
4¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
95¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Artificial
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Artificial
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Tariff49.5%49.5%1¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Tariff49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Tariff
49.5%
49.5%
1¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Tariff
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tariff
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
AI / SI49%49%1¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)AI / SI49%Polymarket 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
AI / SI
49%
49%
1¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
AI / SI
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- AI / SI
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Red Wave49%49%1¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Red Wave49%Polymarket 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Red Wave
49%
49%
1¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Red Wave
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Red Wave
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Microsoft / MSFT48%Not listed48%33¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 h ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Microsoft / MSFT48%Kalshi 48%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Microsoft / MSFT
48%
Not listed
48%
33¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Microsoft / MSFT
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Microsoft / MSFT
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $176
ChatGPT / OpenAI47%Not listed47%32¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 1 h ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)ChatGPT / OpenAI47%Kalshi 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
ChatGPT / OpenAI
47%
Not listed
47%
32¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
ChatGPT / OpenAI
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- ChatGPT / OpenAI
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $614
Prediction47%47%20¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed74¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Prediction47%Polymarket 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Prediction
47%
47%
20¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
74¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Prediction
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Prediction
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Shark46.5%46.5%3¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed90¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Shark46.5%Polymarket 46.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Shark
46.5%
46.5%
3¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
90¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Shark
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Shark
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $4
Peace in the Middle East46%46%3¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed89¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Peace in the Middle East46%Polymarket 46%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Peace in the Middle East
46%
46%
3¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
89¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Peace in the Middle East
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Peace in the Middle East
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $12
Brazil45.5%45.5%11¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed80¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Brazil45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Brazil
45.5%
45.5%
11¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
80¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Brazil
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brazil
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $60
Autism45%45%21¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed69¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Autism45%Polymarket 45%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Autism
45%
45%
21¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
69¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Autism
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Autism
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $3
Corrupt / Corruption 5+ times42.5%42.5%7¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed78¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Corrupt / Corruption 5+ times42.5%Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Corrupt / Corruption 5+ times
42.5%
42.5%
7¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
78¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Corrupt / Corruption 5+ times
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Corrupt / Corruption 5+ times
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $717
AMD41%Not listed41%30¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 h ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)AMD41%Kalshi 41%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
AMD
41%
Not listed
41%
30¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
AMD
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AMD
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $27
Make Iran Great Again41%41%2¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed80¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Make Iran Great Again41%Polymarket 41%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Make Iran Great Again
41%
41%
2¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
80¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Make Iran Great Again
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Make Iran Great Again
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $7
Mail-in39.5%39.5%2¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed77¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Mail-in39.5%Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Mail-in
39.5%
39.5%
2¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
77¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Mail-in
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mail-in
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $13
Rigged 5+ times38.5%38.5%4¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Rigged 5+ times38.5%Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Rigged 5+ times
38.5%
38.5%
4¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Rigged 5+ times
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rigged 5+ times
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $68
DoorDash / DASH37%Not listed37%13¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 1 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)DoorDash / DASH37%Kalshi 37%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
DoorDash / DASH
37%
Not listed
37%
13¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
DoorDash / DASH
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DoorDash / DASH
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $5
Oracle / ORCL37%Not listed37%21¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 1 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Oracle / ORCL37%Kalshi 37%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Oracle / ORCL
37%
Not listed
37%
21¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Oracle / ORCL
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oracle / ORCL
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $695
Golden Dome35.5%35.5%11¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed60¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Golden Dome35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Golden Dome
35.5%
35.5%
11¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
60¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Golden Dome
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Golden Dome
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
Caterpillar35%Not listed35%12¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 1 h ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Caterpillar35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Caterpillar
35%
Not listed
35%
12¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Caterpillar
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caterpillar
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $21
Paramount / PSKY32%Not listed32%30¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 1 h ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Paramount / PSKY32%Kalshi 32%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Paramount / PSKY
32%
Not listed
32%
30¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Paramount / PSKY
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paramount / PSKY
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $219
BlackRock30%Not listed30%12¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 1 h ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)BlackRock30%Kalshi 30%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
BlackRock
30%
Not listed
30%
12¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
BlackRock
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BlackRock
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $14
Texas Instruments29%Not listed29%28¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 1 h ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Texas Instruments29%Kalshi 29%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Texas Instruments
29%
Not listed
29%
28¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Texas Instruments
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas Instruments
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $75
Epstein28.5%28.5%15¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed42¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Epstein28.5%Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Epstein
28.5%
28.5%
15¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
42¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Epstein
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Epstein
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $215
Airbnb / ABNB28%Not listed28%12¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 h ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Airbnb / ABNB28%Kalshi 28%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Airbnb / ABNB
28%
Not listed
28%
12¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Airbnb / ABNB
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Airbnb / ABNB
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $3
Netflix / NFLX28%Not listed28%12¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 h ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Netflix / NFLX28%Kalshi 28%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Netflix / NFLX
28%
Not listed
28%
12¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Netflix / NFLX
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Netflix / NFLX
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $64
Saronic26%Not listed26%8¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 h ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Saronic26%Kalshi 26%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Saronic
26%
Not listed
26%
8¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Saronic
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saronic
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $11
Weightlifter25%25%2¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Weightlifter25%Polymarket 25%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Weightlifter
25%
25%
2¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Weightlifter
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Weightlifter
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $6
Christmas23.5%23.5%3¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Christmas23.5%Polymarket 23.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Christmas
23.5%
23.5%
3¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
44¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Christmas
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Christmas
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $66
Fraud / Fraudulent 5+ times21%21%2¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed40¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Fraud / Fraudulent 5+ times21%Polymarket 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Fraud / Fraudulent 5+ times
21%
21%
2¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
40¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Fraud / Fraudulent 5+ times
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fraud / Fraudulent 5+ times
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $55
Mastercard21%Not listed21%12¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 1 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Mastercard21%Kalshi 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Mastercard
21%
Not listed
21%
12¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Mastercard
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mastercard
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $203
Qualcomm / QCOM18%Not listed18%8¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 1 h ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Qualcomm / QCOM18%Kalshi 18%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Qualcomm / QCOM
18%
Not listed
18%
8¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Qualcomm / QCOM
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Qualcomm / QCOM
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $6
eBay15%Not listed15%15¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 1 h ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)eBay15%Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
eBay
15%
Not listed
15%
15¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
eBay
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- eBay
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $60
Rocket Man11.5%11.5%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Rocket Man11.5%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Rocket Man
11.5%
11.5%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Rocket Man
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rocket Man
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $412
Verizon11%Not listed11%9¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Verizon11%Kalshi 11%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Verizon
11%
Not listed
11%
9¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Verizon
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Verizon
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $27
Rigetti / RGTI5%Not listed5%5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Rigetti / RGTI5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Rigetti / RGTI
5%
Not listed
5%
5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Rigetti / RGTI
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rigetti / RGTI
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $48
Allah3%3%1.1¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Allah3%Polymarket 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Allah
3%
3%
1.1¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Allah
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Allah
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $10
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Strait / Hormuz / Blockade
- Apple / AAPL
- Eli Lilly / LLY
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Strait / Hormuz / Blockade for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "What companies will Trump say in November?". Strait / Hormuz / Blockade leads at 99.5%. Next is Apple / AAPL at 99%. $77K has traded across 87 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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