The Prediction Markets

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in November 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

180 81%

Next is 184 at 79%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
180
81%
Polymarket 81%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
180
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
184
79%
Polymarket 79%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
184
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$625
Trade this on Polymarket
176
75%
Polymarket 75%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
176
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
188
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
188
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$876
Trade this on Polymarket
172
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
172
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Polymarket
192
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
192
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
168
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
168
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Trade this on Polymarket
196
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
196
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
164
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
164
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
160
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
160
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
200
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
200
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
156
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
156
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
152
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
152
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
148
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
148
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$770
Trade this on Polymarket
144
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
144
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 180
  • 184
  • 176

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in November 2026?". 180 leads at 81%. Next is 184 at 79%. $5K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in November 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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