The Prediction Markets

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$8K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

180 51.5%

Next is 172 at 51%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
180
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
180
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Polymarket
172
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
172
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$804
Trade this on Polymarket
174
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
174
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
182
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
182
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Polymarket
186
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
186
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Polymarket
188
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
188
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
178
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
178
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$397
Trade this on Polymarket
184
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
184
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Polymarket
168
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
168
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$613
Trade this on Polymarket
166
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
166
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$755
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
170
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
170
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$346
Trade this on Polymarket
162
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 14.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $676 (6.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
162
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$676 (6.76x)
Volume
$292
Trade this on Polymarket
164
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
164
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
160
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
160
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$451
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 180
  • 172
  • 174

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of October 19 2026?". 180 leads at 51.5%. Next is 172 at 51%. $8K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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