Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
300 66%
Next is 290 at 65.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
30066%66%63¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 1 h ago69¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $145 (1.45x)30066%Polymarket 66%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
300
66%
66%
63¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
69¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
300
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 300
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $71
29065.5%65.5%32¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)29065.5%Polymarket 65.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
290
65.5%
65.5%
32¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
290
65.5%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 290
- Last price
- 65.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
28056%56%41¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 1 h ago71¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $141 (1.41x)28056%Polymarket 56%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
280
56%
56%
41¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
71¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
280
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 280
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
31037.5%37.5%35¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 1 h ago40¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $250 (2.50x)31037.5%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
310
37.5%
37.5%
35¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
40¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
310
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 310
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $71
27034.5%34.5%31¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 1 h ago38¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $263 (2.63x)27034.5%Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
270
34.5%
34.5%
31¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
38¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
270
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 270
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $9K
32021%21%17¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 h ago25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)32021%Polymarket 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
320
21%
21%
17¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
320
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 320
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $173
26015.5%15.5%12¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 1 h ago19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)26015.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
260
15.5%
15.5%
12¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
260
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 260
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $578
33011%11%9¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 h ago13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)33011%Polymarket 11%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
330
11%
11%
9¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
330
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 330
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $165
2509.5%9.5%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)2509.5%Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
250
9.5%
9.5%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
250
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 250
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
3408%8%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)3408%Polymarket 8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
340
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
340
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 340
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $250
Show 7 more outcomesHide 7 outcomes
3506.5%6.5%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 h ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)3506.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
350
6.5%
6.5%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
350
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 350
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $118
2406%6%3.1¢ bid, 8.9¢ askpolled, 1 h ago8.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)2406%Polymarket 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
240
6%
6%
3.1¢ bid, 8.9¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
8.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
240
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 240
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,124 (11.2x)
- Volume
- $423
3704.6%4.6%1.5¢ bid, 7.7¢ askpolled, 1 h ago7.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)3704.6%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
370
4.6%
4.6%
1.5¢ bid, 7.7¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
7.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
370
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 370
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,299 (13.0x)
- Volume
- $18
2304.5%4.5%1.1¢ bid, 7.8¢ askpolled, 1 h ago7.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)2304.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
230
4.5%
4.5%
1.1¢ bid, 7.8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
7.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
230
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 230
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,282 (12.8x)
- Volume
- $279
3604%4%1.3¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 1 h ago6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)3604%Polymarket 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
360
4%
4%
1.3¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
360
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 360
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $31
3803.9%3.9%1.3¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago6.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)3803.9%Polymarket 3.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
380
3.9%
3.9%
1.3¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
6.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
380
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 380
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $8K
3902.4%2.4%0.4¢ bid, 4.4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)3902.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
390
2.4%
2.4%
0.4¢ bid, 4.4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
390
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 390
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,273 (22.7x)
- Volume
- $253
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 300
- 290
- 280
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in November 2026?". 300 leads at 66%. Next is 290 at 65.5%. $27K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.
What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in November 2026?
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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