The Prediction Markets

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$8K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

320 61%

Next is 300 at 49.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
320
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
320
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$663
Trade this on Polymarket
300
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
300
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
375
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 94.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
375
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Polymarket
340
44.7%
Polymarket 44.7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 88.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $113 (1.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
340
Last price
44.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$113 (1.13x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Polymarket
330
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
330
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
345
16.9%
Polymarket 16.9%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 32.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $305 (3.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
345
Last price
16.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$305 (3.05x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Polymarket
315
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
315
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Polymarket
365
7.9%
Polymarket 7.9%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 14.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $676 (6.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
365
Last price
7.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$676 (6.76x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
355
7.8%
Polymarket 7.8%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
355
Last price
7.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Volume
$331
Trade this on Polymarket
310
7.3%
Polymarket 7.3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 13.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
310
Last price
7.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$719 (7.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
370
6.7%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 12.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $813 (8.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
370
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$813 (8.13x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
360
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 12.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $794 (7.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
360
Last price
6.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$794 (7.94x)
Volume
$147
Trade this on Polymarket
350
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
350
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$752
Trade this on Polymarket
335
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
335
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$109
Trade this on Polymarket
305
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
305
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$218
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 320
  • 300
  • 375

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of October 19 2026?". 320 leads at 61%. Next is 300 at 49.5%. $8K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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