The Prediction Markets

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$11K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

248 51%

Next is 264 at 49.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
248
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
248
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
264
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
264
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
256
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
256
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
244
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
244
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$294
Trade this on Polymarket
260
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
260
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
236
7.4%
Polymarket 7.4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
236
Last price
7.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Volume
$66
Trade this on Polymarket
232
7.3%
Polymarket 7.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 13.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $741 (7.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
232
Last price
7.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$741 (7.41x)
Trade this on Polymarket
228
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 13.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $725 (7.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
228
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$725 (7.25x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
280
6.9%
Polymarket 6.9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $787 (7.87x)
Polymarket
Contract
280
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$787 (7.87x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Polymarket
284
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $794 (7.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
284
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$794 (7.94x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
240
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
240
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$949
Trade this on Polymarket
272
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
272
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$337
Trade this on Polymarket
268
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
268
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$469
Trade this on Polymarket
224
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
224
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
276
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
276
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 248
  • 264
  • 256

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?". 248 leads at 51%. Next is 264 at 49.5%. $11K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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