The Prediction Markets

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 26 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

248 92%

Next is 244 at 75.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
248
92%
Polymarket 92%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
248
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$62
Trade this on Polymarket
244
75.5%
Polymarket 75.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
244
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Polymarket
252
60.5%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
252
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
256
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
256
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
240
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
240
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Polymarket
260
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
260
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
236
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
236
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
264
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
264
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$253
Trade this on Polymarket
232
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
232
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
268
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
268
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
228
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
228
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
224
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
224
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
272
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
272
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Polymarket
276
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
276
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 248
  • 244
  • 252

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 26 2026?". 248 leads at 92%. Next is 244 at 75.5%. $2K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 26 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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