Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
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Best ask
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What the markets expect
352 91.5%
Next is 360 at 73%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
35291.5%91.5%84¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)35291.5%Polymarket 91.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
352
91.5%
91.5%
84¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
352
91.5%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 352
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
36073%73%71¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 1 h ago75¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $133 (1.33x)36073%Polymarket 73%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
360
73%
73%
71¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
75¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
360
73%
Polymarket 73%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 360
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $270
34468%68%56¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 1 h ago80¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $125 (1.25x)34468%Polymarket 68%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
344
68%
68%
56¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
80¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
344
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 344
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
36846%46%43¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 h ago49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)36846%Polymarket 46%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
368
46%
46%
43¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
368
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 368
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $40
33638.5%38.5%24¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 1 h ago53¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $189 (1.89x)33638.5%Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
336
38.5%
38.5%
24¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
53¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
336
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 336
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
37627%27%26¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 h ago28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)37627%Polymarket 27%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
376
27%
27%
26¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
376
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 376
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $11K
32826.5%26.5%18¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 1 h ago35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)32826.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
328
26.5%
26.5%
18¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
328
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 328
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
32016.5%16.5%13¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 1 h ago20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)32016.5%Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
320
16.5%
16.5%
13¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
320
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 320
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $1K
38414%14%12¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 h ago16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)38414%Polymarket 14%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
384
14%
14%
12¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
384
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 384
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
3929%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)3929%Polymarket 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
392
9%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
392
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 392
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $409
Show 5 more outcomesHide 5 outcomes
3128.5%8.5%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 h ago11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)3128.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
312
8.5%
8.5%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
312
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 312
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $737
2966.5%6.5%4¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 h ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)2966.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
296
6.5%
6.5%
4¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
296
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 296
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $149
3046.5%6.5%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 h ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)3046.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
304
6.5%
6.5%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
304
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 304
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $4K
2885.5%5.5%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 h ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)2885.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
288
5.5%
5.5%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
288
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 288
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $37
4005.3%5.3%3.8¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 1 h ago6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)4005.3%Polymarket 5.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
400
5.3%
5.3%
3.8¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
400
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 400
- Last price
- 5.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $723
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 352
- 360
- 344
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "What will Apple (AAPL) hit in November 2026?". 352 leads at 91.5%. Next is 360 at 73%. $34K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.
What will Apple (AAPL) hit in November 2026?
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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