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Trading ended on May 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 179 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Democrat 5+ times100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4307 h agoNo askDemocrat 5+ times100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4307 h ago
Democrat 5+ times
100%
100%
99.9¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4307 h ago
No ask
Democrat 5+ times
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4307 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Democrat 5+ times
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $592
FED / Chair99.9%99.9%99.8¢ bid, — askpolled, 4307 h agoNo askFED / Chair99.9%Polymarket 99.9%polled, 4307 h ago
FED / Chair
99.9%
99.9%
99.8¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4307 h ago
No ask
FED / Chair
99.9%
Polymarket 99.9%polled, 4307 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- FED / Chair
- Last price
- 99.9%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.8¢
- Volume
- $354
President 55+ times99.8%99.8%99.5¢ bid, — askpolled, 4307 h agoNo askPresident 55+ times99.8%Polymarket 99.8%polled, 4307 h ago
President 55+ times
99.8%
99.8%
99.5¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4307 h ago
No ask
President 55+ times
99.8%
Polymarket 99.8%polled, 4307 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- President 55+ times
- Last price
- 99.8%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.5¢
- Volume
- $12K
Very clear99.8%99.8%99.5¢ bid, — askpolled, 4307 h agoNo askVery clear99.8%Polymarket 99.8%polled, 4307 h ago
Very clear
99.8%
99.8%
99.5¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4307 h ago
No ask
Very clear
99.8%
Polymarket 99.8%polled, 4307 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Very clear
- Last price
- 99.8%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.5¢
- Volume
- $458
Despicable / Disgusting99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 4307 h agoNo askDespicable / Disgusting99.5%Polymarket 99.5%polled, 4307 h ago
Despicable / Disgusting
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4307 h ago
No ask
Despicable / Disgusting
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 4307 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Despicable / Disgusting
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $361
President 66+ times99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 4307 h agoNo askPresident 66+ times99.5%Polymarket 99.5%polled, 4307 h ago
President 66+ times
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4307 h ago
No ask
President 66+ times
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 4307 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- President 66+ times
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $1K
Successful26.4%26.4%0.1¢ bid, 52.6¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago52.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $190 (1.90x)Successful26.4%Polymarket 26.4%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 52.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $190 (1.90x)
Successful
26.4%
26.4%
0.1¢ bid, 52.6¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
52.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $190 (1.90x)
Successful
26.4%
Polymarket 26.4%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 52.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $190 (1.90x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Successful
- Last price
- 26.4%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 52.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $190 (1.90x)
- Volume
- $291
Insult / Insulting1.4%1.4%— bid, 2.7¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago2.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)Insult / Insulting1.4%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Insult / Insulting
1.4%
1.4%
— bid, 2.7¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
2.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Insult / Insulting
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Insult / Insulting
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,704 (37.0x)
- Volume
- $153
Commander-in-Chief0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Commander-in-Chief0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Commander-in-Chief
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Commander-in-Chief
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Commander-in-Chief
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $516
Diplomatic / Diplomacy0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Diplomatic / Diplomacy0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Diplomatic / Diplomacy
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Diplomatic / Diplomacy
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Diplomatic / Diplomacy
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $75
Show 13 more outcomesHide 13 outcomes
Gas / Gallon0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Gas / Gallon0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Gas / Gallon
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Gas / Gallon
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gas / Gallon
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $354
Go ahead 5+ times0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Go ahead 5+ times0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Go ahead 5+ times
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Go ahead 5+ times
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Go ahead 5+ times
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $632
JD / Vance0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)JD / Vance0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
JD / Vance
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
JD / Vance
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- JD / Vance
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $296
Economy0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Economy0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Economy
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Economy
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Economy
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $537
Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $411
Military operation0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Military operation0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Military operation
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Military operation
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Military operation
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $238
Peace in the Middle East0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Peace in the Middle East0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Peace in the Middle East
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Peace in the Middle East
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Peace in the Middle East
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $387
Pete / Hegseth0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Pete / Hegseth0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Pete / Hegseth
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Pete / Hegseth
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pete / Hegseth
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $199
Ukraine0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Ukraine0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Ukraine
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Ukraine
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ukraine
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $274
China0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)China0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
China
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
China
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- China
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $435
Death to America0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Death to America0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Death to America
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Death to America
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Death to America
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $322
Joe Biden0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Joe Biden0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Joe Biden
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Joe Biden
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Joe Biden
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $453
Palestine0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4307 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Palestine0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Palestine
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 4307 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Palestine
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4307 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Palestine
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 179 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $287
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Democrat 5+ times
- FED / Chair
- President 55+ times
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?". Democrat 5+ times last traded at 100%. Next is FED / Chair at 99.9%. $21K has traded across 23 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market. If no such press briefing happens by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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