This market has closed
Trading ended on Apr 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Mr. Speaker 10+ times95.7%95.7%94.2¢ bid, 97.1¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago97.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Mr. Speaker 10+ times95.7%Polymarket 95.7%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 97.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
- Contract
- Mr. Speaker 10+ times
- Last price
- 95.7%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 97.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 94.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $4K
War94%94%92¢ bid, 95.9¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago95.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)War94%Polymarket 94%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 95.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
- Contract
- War
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 95.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $5K
Mr. Speaker 20+ times85.5%85.5%83¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago88¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Mr. Speaker 20+ times85.5%Polymarket 85.5%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
- Contract
- Mr. Speaker 20+ times
- Last price
- 85.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $12K
Hundred / Thousand 5+ times71%71%51¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago91¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Hundred / Thousand 5+ times71%Polymarket 71%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
- Contract
- Hundred / Thousand 5+ times
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $3K
NHS71%71%57¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago85¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $118 (1.18x)NHS71%Polymarket 71%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
- Contract
- NHS
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $5K
Oil / Gas69.5%69.5%58¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago81¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Oil / Gas69.5%Polymarket 69.5%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
- Contract
- Oil / Gas
- Last price
- 69.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $3K
United States64%64%63¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago65¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $154 (1.54x)United States64%Polymarket 64%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
- Contract
- United States
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $15K
Green59%59%49¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago69¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Green59%Polymarket 59%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
- Contract
- Green
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $3K
Passover / Easter55%55%50¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago60¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Passover / Easter55%Polymarket 55%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
- Contract
- Passover / Easter
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $15
Europe52%52%42¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago62¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Europe52%Polymarket 52%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
- Contract
- Europe
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Renewables50%50%37¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago63¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Renewables50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
- Contract
- Renewables
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $5K
Urgent46.8%46.8%34.1¢ bid, 59.5¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago59.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $168 (1.68x)Urgent46.8%Polymarket 46.8%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 59.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $168 (1.68x)
- Contract
- Urgent
- Last price
- 46.8%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 59.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 34.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $168 (1.68x)
- Volume
- $7K
BMA / British Medical Association44.5%44.5%36¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago53¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $189 (1.89x)BMA / British Medical Association44.5%Polymarket 44.5%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
- Contract
- BMA / British Medical Association
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $43
National Security44.5%44.5%31¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago58¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $172 (1.72x)National Security44.5%Polymarket 44.5%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
- Contract
- National Security
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $1K
U-Turn40%40%34¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)U-Turn40%Polymarket 40%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
- Contract
- U-Turn
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $5K
Nuclear37.5%37.5%25¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Nuclear37.5%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
- Contract
- Nuclear
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kanye / West37%37%26¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Kanye / West37%Polymarket 37%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
- Contract
- Kanye / West
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $244
Deeply Concerning31.5%31.5%25¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago38¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Deeply Concerning31.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
- Contract
- Deeply Concerning
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $207
Trump31.5%31.5%30¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago33¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Trump31.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
- Contract
- Trump
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $4K
Mr. Speaker 30+ times27.5%27.5%25¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Mr. Speaker 30+ times27.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
- Contract
- Mr. Speaker 30+ times
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kneecap21%21%6¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Kneecap21%Polymarket 21%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
- Contract
- Kneecap
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $20
Public Health19.2%19.2%9.2¢ bid, 29.1¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago29.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $344 (3.44x)Public Health19.2%Polymarket 19.2%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 29.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $344 (3.44x)
- Contract
- Public Health
- Last price
- 19.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 29.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $344 (3.44x)
- Volume
- $460
Wireless16%16%14¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Wireless16%Polymarket 16%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
- Contract
- Wireless
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $5K
Epstein10%10%9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Epstein10%Polymarket 10%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
- Contract
- Epstein
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $2K
Shadow Secretary8.2%8.2%8.1¢ bid, 8.2¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago8.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)Shadow Secretary8.2%Polymarket 8.2%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
- Contract
- Shadow Secretary
- Last price
- 8.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,220 (12.2x)
- Volume
- $7K
Thank you 10+ times8.1%8.1%6.2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Thank you 10+ times8.1%Polymarket 8.1%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
- Contract
- Thank you 10+ times
- Last price
- 8.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Mr. Speaker 10+ times
- War
- Mr. Speaker 20+ times
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?". Mr. Speaker 10+ times last traded at 95.7%. Next is War at 94%. $106K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 1, 2026.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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